Centre County appears to be in slightly better shape than it was a week ago with the COVID-19 pandemic — but based on trends, data and projections, any celebration could still be short-lived.
Dr. David Rubin, director of PolicyLab at the Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, last week gave the Centre Daily Times a “bellwether” date of Oct. 1 for when the county would know whether it was trending in the right direction. But, based on precedent from colleges that started before Penn State and his COVID-19 study that touched on the impact of changing temperatures, Rubin believes he can already better project the county’s pandemic path.
His educated projection at this point? With the county’s decreasing positivity rate — it was down to 9.3% Sunday, based on seven-day averages, compared to 12.6% a week prior — Penn State is likely following the path of other universities in that it